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Out of school and into trouble? Labor market impacts of decreasing the school leaving age – by Anna Adamecz, Ágnes Szabó-Morvai and co-authors

Out of school and into trouble?
Labor market impacts of decreasing the school leaving age

 

Abstract

This paper investigates the labor market impacts of a reform that universally lowered the school leaving age from 18 to 16 in Hungary. Using a difference-in-cross-cohort-comparisons approach and administrative panel data, we find that the policy increased the likelihood of dropping out from school among individuals aged 16 to 18, without a corresponding increase in employment. Employed dropouts were predominantly employed in low-skilled occupations. These results are driven by lower-SES students and suggest that the policy had adverse effects on human capital formation, did not improve labor market integration, and increased inequality.

Keywords: Education, reform, employment, school leaving age

JEL classification: I21,J13,J16,J24

 

 

 

 

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